Risks -27% stock price drop over past year – industry-wide pressure Cyclicality – tied to industrial demand cycles Moderate growth – not a high-growth tech stock Assumptions Revenue by 2029: Estimate: ~SEK 26–28 billion Current Revenue: SEK 20.44 billion Expected Growth: ~4.3–7.2% annually Growth Drivers: Strong demand for polymer solutions in automotive, construction, and energy Growth in engineered products and thermoplastic elastomers Sustainability and recycling focus aligned with EU regulations (ESG boost) Earnings by 2029: Estimate: ~SEK 3–3.5 billion Current Earnings: SEK 2.22 billion Expected Growth: ~7.2% annually Key Factors: Stable gross margins (21–23%) Facility consolidation and improved operational efficiency Acquisitions (M&A) and shift toward high-margin products Catalysts Reliable dividend yield – 4.3% Low debt (Debt/Equity = 18.7%) Consistent growth through green innovation and acquisitions
Catalysts Historic Growth: HEXPOL has demonstrated robust growth over the years—expanding from modest beginnings in 2001 to achieving sales over 22 billion SEK in 2023—and its strong track record suggests that this momentum is likely to continue. Gross Margins: The company has maintained stable gross margins (18-23%) last five years, reflecting enduring pricing power vs customers.
Key Takeaways Expansion in advanced polymers, thermoplastics, and TPEs aligns with key industry megatrends, sustainability demands, and growing end-markets, supporting revenue and pricing power. Operational efficiency, sustainability focus, and strategic acquisitions are set to boost margins, earnings resilience, and market share through diversification and integration.
HEXPOL AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells various polymer compounds and engineered gaskets, seals, and wheels in Sweden, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of the Americas, and Asia. It operates through two segments, HEXPOL Compounding and HEXPOL Engineered Products. The HEXPOL Compounding segment develops and manufactures natural and synthetic rubber compounds under the HEXFLAME, HEXLIGHT, GloMold, and other brands; thermoplastic elastomer compounds under the Dryflex, Mediprene, Epseal, as well as Lifolit and Lifocork; and thermoplastic compounds under the RheTech brand. Its HEXPOL Engineered Products segment manufactures gaskets and seals under the Gislaved Gummi brand; and wheels under the Stellana brand. The company serves the automotive and engineering; building, construction, and civil engineering; aerospace and transportation; energy; consumer products and electronics; cable and wire; oil and gas; rollers; agriculture; hose; graphic production; toy, sport, and leisure; and plumbing industries, as well as manufacturers of medical equipment, plate heat exchangers, forklifts, and castor wheels. The company was formerly known as Hexagon Polymers AB and changed its name to HEXPOL AB (publ) in May 2008. HEXPOL AB (publ) was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
